Through Friday temperatures for the month of February at RDU have been 6.6 degrees F warmer than average and a departure of 1.24 inches from normal for precipitation. The trend of warm and dry will continue over the forecast time period. A weak weather feature across the Southeast will keep conditions rather cloudy for the overnight. We can not rule out a shower in a few spots early this evening. This feature will move off to the east and drier air will move into the region. There can be some lingering clouds for the eastern portions of the viewing area tomorrow morning, with late morning, afternoon sunshine across the area. A weak cool front coming in from the north later on Monday will bring a slight cool down on Tuesday. It will be 5-10 degrees cooler across the region on Tuesday compared to Monday, but still remaining above average. There will not be much if any moisture at all associated with the front.
By Wednesday temperatures will be back into the 70s as the winds turn back to the southwest. Also Wednesday, the storm system currently across the Southwest will move across the country. It does appear two separate pieces of energy will emerge from this system. As of now one piece will pass through the Great Lakes with the other piece of energy across the Gulf of Mexico. Mainly dry conditions Wednesday as we will be in-between the two features.
Next chance for some rainfall looks to come late Friday into Saturday. Low pressure will develop out of the Rockies Thursday afternoon. This low will cut towards the Great Lakes with an associated cold front. There is some model disagreement with the timing of the front. As of now leaning toward the slower solution with rainfall holding off until next Saturday.
Have a great evening!