Analysis: ACC releases hoops schedule

Friday, July 21, 2017
North Carolina guard Joel Berry II (2) heads to the hoop as Virginia guard London Perrantes (32) looks on during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game
North Carolina guard Joel Berry II (2) heads to the hoop as Virginia guard London Perrantes (32) looks on during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game
Alex Brandon-AP

The ACC released the matchups for the upcoming ACC basketball season on Thursday.



No dates and times have been released yet, but we now know the who, where and how many times of the schedule, which really is the meat of the matter. So who's sitting pretty and who's got the toughest road to hoe, locally?



Make sure you're sitting down because here comes my take:



Easy Street - Duke:



Home/Away: UNC, Wake Forest, Virginia Tech and Pitt (7-1 projection in 8 games)



While I'm clearly hyperbolizing with the 'easy street' bit, Mike Krzyzewski has to love what he's looking at today. The Blue Devils play home and home with UNC and Wake (an every year proposition) and then get 4 games combined vs Virginia Tech and Pitt. Buzz Williams returns everyone save 2 players at VT. Those two players happen to be Zach LeDay and Seth Allen, so that's a big hit, but with a big recruiting class and the sheer force of Buzz's will, they'll be a tough out. Pitt on the other hand has approximately -42 players on scholarship. They're a mess and will likely continue down that road with Kevin Stallings. I'm tempted to stick a Winston-Salem loss here, but nah.



Home Only: Florida State, Virginia, Louisville, Syracuse, Notre Dame (5-0)



The Blue Devils take extra special pride in defending home court. FSU is re-tooling after losing a ton of top shelf talent in Tallahassee. Virginia figures to take a step back with graduation and transfer losses, but Tony Bennett will make sure they have every opponent grinding its teeth. Despite losing Donovan Mitchell, count on the Cards to be relatively ferocious. Syracuse doesn't scare me this season. The best game of the bunch figures to be Notre Dame. It's been well-documented how Mike Brey has tormented his former boss in recent years and any team with Bonzie has a shot. Still - I think the Devils keep a clean sheet at home.



Away Only: Miami, Georgia Tech, Clemson, NC State, Boston College (3-2)



I've got to have them drop at least one of these games and the guess here the L ( or Ls) come at some combination of Miami, GT or State. At the risk of losing my Wolfpack friends here, I think the more likely defeats are in Atlanta and Coral Gables. The Canes bring back a bunch of established talent, first and foremost Bruce Brown. Both Josh Okogie and Ben Lammers are back for more at Tech, so that'll be a slugfest too.



Total tally: 15-3

Manageable - NC State



Home/Away: UNC, Wake Forest, Clemson, Notre Dame (3-5)



It's a whole new regime in Raleigh and I'd expect some immediate dividends given the injection of Keatts-ian energy and work ethic. That said, there's a ton of uncertainty as to what we'll see from the Pack this year, so until I see a few games, it's basically guesswork.



The frontline seems a position of strength. I honestly expect massive improvement from Omer Yurtseven. Abu is Abu and Lennard Freeman is a welcome workhorse to bring back. The guard line certainly has promise, but as this is not an NC State preview post, let's get to the picks.



I just can't see State hanging a loss on the defending national champs in either Raleigh or Chapel Hill. That said - State's frontline should be able to eat against the Heels young, untested big guys. if State gets a dub in Raleigh - LIGHT THE BELLTOWER THERE'S A NEW SHERIFF IN TOWN!!!! A split with Wake Forest seems a fair ambition given what Danny Manning is building in Winston-Salem and gimme the same treatment with Clemson and Notre Dame. A win over Bonzieball might be the highlight at PNC this upcoming year, except that...



Home Only: Florida State, Miami, Duke, Louisville, BC (3-2)



I'm calling a State win over Louisville as the signature victory of Kevin Keatts' initial season in charge of the Wolfpack. Once or twice a year, State rises up and plays to a level high enough to send its fans into ecstasy, only to descend into exasperation most of the rest of the time. BUT AGAIN, new man in charge. As Kevin Keatts said at his presser earlier this week, he's going to put a team that competes and fights every game on the floor. That said, gimme wins over Florida State and BC (with all that NC talent) as well with competitive losses to Miami and Duke.



Away Only: Georgia Tech, Virginia, Virginia Tech, Pitt, Syracuse (2-3)



These all look winnable on paper, but they of course won't be in reality. Wins at Pitt (see above) and Virginia Tech will be the highlights. Virginia will be a 47-39 ugg-fest, the shots won't fall at Syracuse and Georgia Tech is an OT loss when Markell Johnson's running full court effort comes up just long. No repeat Trevor Lacey magic this time.



Total tally: 8-10

Toughest Road - UNC



Home/Away: Duke, NC State, Clemson, Notre Dame (6-2)



I already stuck Duke with a loss above, and that to my mind comes courtesy of the Heels in Chapel Hill. Duke winning there is obviously a strong possibility too but since calling it a split is the easy bailout here, lemme jump on that lifeboat ahead of the women and children. As stated in my NCSU rundown - the Heels baby bigs will face a stern test in both matchups vs the Wolfpack. Luke Maye can board, but there's some questions that'll need answering in both those games. Still - with dudes who've been through it like Joel Berry and Theo Pinson, that championship confidence will shine through. Plus - you know Roy's going to want to show Kevin Keatts who's boss in year one of that new rivalry. Clemson in Chapel Hill seems noteworthy for some reason but I can't put my thumb on it. Two wins vs the Tigers, but Bonzie Wells and the Irish will zap them once (at least).



Home Only: Miami, Georgia Tech, Wake Forest, Pitt, BC (5-0)



Miami sets off the alarm bells loudest here. I don't think the Jackets can hang at the Smith Center. Absent John Collins, the Deacs don't have enough and Pitt and BC aren't good enough. I do though expect large games from Jerome Robinson and Ky Bowman in front of some friendly fans.



Road Only: Florida State, Virginia, Virginia Tech, Louisville, Syracuse (2-3)



Here's where it gets dicey. All the experience comes in handy for Carolina in these situations, but they'll need some bigtime performances from the role players in more than a few of these games. This is where we get to watch the young guys come to terms with ACC basketball. I think FSU's a win and so is VT. I'm gonna pin Ls on the Heels in the other three. I think finding points on the road may wind up being problematic, which is a weird thing to say about UNC, but there I said it.



Total tally: 13-5



Full match ups:


2017-18 Season


Boston College 2017-18


Home/Road: Syracuse, Notre Dame, Florida State, Miami


Home: Georgia Tech, Clemson, Duke, Wake Forest, Virginia Tech


Road: North Carolina, NC State, Virginia, Louisville, Pitt



Clemson 2017-18


Home/Road: Florida State, Georgia Tech, North Carolina, NC State


Home: Miami, Duke, Louisville, Pitt, Notre Dame


Road: Wake Forest, Virginia, Virginia Tech, Boston College, Syracuse



Duke 2017-18


Home/Road: North Carolina , Wake Forest , Virginia Tech, Pitt


Home: Florida State, Virginia, Louisville, Syracuse, Notre Dame


Road: Miami, Georgia Tech, Clemson, NC State, Boston College



Florida State 2017-18


Home/Road: Miami, Clemson, Louisville, Boston College


Home: Georgia Tech, North Carolina, Virginia, Pitt, Syracuse


Road: Duke, Wake Forest, NC State, Virginia Tech, Notre Dame



Georgia Tech 2017-18


Home/Road: Clemson, Notre Dame, Wake Forest, Virginia


Home: Miami, Duke, NC State, Virginia Tech, Syracuse


Road: Florida State, North Carolina, Louisville, Pitt, Boston College



Louisville 2017-18


Home/Road: Pitt, Virginia, Florida State, Virginia Tech


Home: Georgia Tech, North Carolina, Wake Forest, Boston College, Syracuse


Road: Miami, Clemson, Duke, NC State, Notre Dame



Miami 2017-18


Home/Road: Florida State, Virginia Tech, Pitt, Boston College


Home: Duke, Wake Forest, Virginia, Louisville, Syracuse


Road: Georgia Tech, Clemson, North Carolina, NC State, Notre Dame



North Carolina 2017-18


Home/Road: Duke, NC State, Clemson , Notre Dame


Home: Miami, Georgia Tech, , Wake Forest, Pitt, Boston College


Road: Florida State, Virginia, Virginia Tech, Louisville, Syracuse



NC State 2017-18


Home/Road: North Carolina, Wake Forest, Clemson, Notre Dame


Home: Florida State, Miami, Duke, Louisville, Boston College


Road: Georgia Tech, Virginia, Virginia Tech, Pitt, Syracuse



Notre Dame 2017-18


Home/Road: Boston College, Georgia Tech, North Carolina, NC State


Home: Florida State, Miami, Virginia Tech, Louisville, Pitt


Road: Clemson, Duke, Wake Forest, Virginia, Syracuse



Pitt 2017-18


Home/Road: Louisville, Syracuse, Miami, Duke


Home: Georgia Tech, Wake Forest, NC State, Virginia, Boston College


Road: Florida State, Clemson, North Carolina, Virginia Tech, Notre Dame


Syracuse 2017-18


Home/Road: Boston College, Pitt, Wake Forest, Virginia


Home: Clemson, North Carolina, NC State, Virginia Tech, Notre Dame


Road: Florida State, Miami, Georgia Tech, Duke, Louisville



Virginia 2017-18


Home/Road: Louisville, Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech, Syracuse


Home: Clemson, North Carolina, NC State, Boston College, Notre Dame


Road: Florida State, Miami, Duke, Wake Forest, Pitt



Virginia Tech 2017-18


Home/Road: Miami, Virginia, Duke, Louisville


Home: Florida State, Clemson, North Carolina, NC State, Pitt


Road: Georgia Tech, Wake Forest, Boston College, Syracuse, Notre Dame



Wake Forest 2017-18


Home/Road: Duke, NC State, Georgia Tech, Syracuse


Home: Florida State, Clemson, Virginia, Virginia Tech, Notre Dame


Road: Miami, North Carolina, Louisville, Pitt, Boston College

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