SPORTS

NHL playoff standings update: Projecting Predators' chances

ByTim Kavanagh ESPN logo

Thursday, March 16, 2023

Leading up to the trade deadline on March 3, the Nashville Predatorsappeared to be looking ahead to 2023-24 and beyond after trading away Nino Niederreiter, Tanner Jeannot, Mattias Ekholm and Mikael Granlund for a king's ransom of draft picks.

But a weird thing has been happening simultaneous to all that dealing: Since Feb. 21, the Preds have earned a point in nine of their 11 games, going 8-2-1 in that stretch, including five one-goal victories, per ESPN Stats & Information. In that span, they rank in the NHL's top 5 in points percentage, penalty kill percentage, power-play percentage and fewest goals against.

Can they actually nab one of the Western wild-card spots?

The pathway continues Thursday, as the Predators host the Chicago Blackhawks (8 ET, ESPN+/Hulu), a club they have beaten in both meetings this season.

After Thursday, the schedule gets tougher for Nashville, when 13 of its final 16 games are against teams currently in playoff position. The Predators play two games apiece against the Seattle Kraken and

FiveThirtyEight gives the Preds a 39% chance of making the playoffs. That might not seem high, but given where things stood a weeks ago, it's pretty remarkable.

As we enter the final stretch of the regular season, it's time to check all the playoff races -- along with the teams jockeying for position in the 2023 NHL draft lottery.

Note: Playoff chances are via FiveThirtyEight.

Jump ahead:

Current playoff matchups

Today's games

Last night's scores

Expanded standings

Race for No. 1 pick

Current playoff matchups

Eastern Conference

A1 Boston Bruins vs. WC2 New York Islanders

A2 Toronto Maple Leafs vs. A3 Tampa Bay Lightning

M1 Carolina Hurricanes vs. WC1 Pittsburgh Penguins

M2 New Jersey Devils vs. M3 New York Rangers

Western Conference

C1 Dallas Stars vs. WC1 Seattle Kraken

C2 Minnesota Wild vs. C3 Colorado Avalanche

P1 Vegas Golden Knights vs. WC2 Winnipeg Jets

P2 Los Angeles Kings vs. P3 Edmonton Oilers

Thursday's games

Note: All times Eastern. All games not on ESPN, TNT or NHL Network are available via NHL Power Play, which is included in an ESPN+ subscription (local blackout restrictions apply).

Montreal Canadiens at Florida Panthers, 7 p.m.

Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers, 7 p.m.

Tampa Bay Lightning at New Jersey Devils, 7 p.m.

Colorado Avalanche at Ottawa Senators, 7 p.m.

Chicago Blackhawks at Nashville Predators, 8 p.m. (ESPN+/Hulu)

Boston Bruins at Winnipeg Jets, 8 p.m.

Vancouver Canucks at Arizona Coyotes, 10 p.m.

Calgary Flames at Vegas Golden Knights, 10 p.m.

Columbus Blue Jackets at Los Angeles Kings, 10:30 p.m.

Seattle Kraken at San Jose Sharks, 10:30 p.m.

Wednesday's scoreboard

Watch "In the Crease" on ESPN+ for highlights from every game.

Colorado Avalanche 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 1 (SO)

Washington Capitals 5, Buffalo Sabres 4 (SO)

Minnesota Wild 8, St. Louis Blues 5

New York Islanders 6, Anaheim Ducks 3

Expanded standings

Atlantic Division

x - Boston Bruins

Points: 105

Regulation wins: 43

Playoff position: A1

Games left: 16

Points pace: 131

Next game: @ WPG (Thursday)

Playoff chances: 100%

Tragic number: N/A

Toronto Maple Leafs

Points: 89

Regulation wins: 34

Playoff position: A2

Games left: 15

Points pace: 109

Next game: vs. CAR (Friday)

Playoff chances:>99%

Tragic number: N/A

Tampa Bay Lightning

Points: 86

Regulation wins: 33

Playoff position: A3

Games left: 14

Points pace: 104

Next game: @ NJ (Thursday)

Playoff chances:>99%

Tragic number: N/A

Florida Panthers

Points: 73

Regulation wins: 28

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 15

Points pace: 89

Next game: vs. MTL (Thursday)

Playoff chances: 43%

Tragic number: 25

Buffalo Sabres

Points: 72

Regulation wins: 25

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 15

Points pace: 88

Next game: @ PHI (Friday)

Playoff chances: 13%

Tragic number: 24

Ottawa Senators

Points: 70

Regulation wins: 26

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 15

Points pace: 86

Next game: vs. COL (Thursday)

Playoff chances: 4%

Tragic number: 22

Detroit Red Wings

Points: 69

Regulation wins: 24

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 15

Points pace: 85

Next game: vs. COL (Saturday)

Playoff chances: 2%

Tragic number: 21

Montreal Canadiens

Points: 60

Regulation wins: 18

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 14

Points pace: 72

Next game: @ FLA (Thursday)

Playoff chances:<1%

Tragic number: 10

Metropolitan Division

Carolina Hurricanes

Points: 96

Regulation wins: 33

Playoff position: M1

Games left: 16

Points pace: 119

Next game: @ TOR (Friday)

Playoff chances:>99%

Tragic number: N/A

New Jersey Devils

Points: 94

Regulation wins: 32

Playoff position: M2

Games left: 15

Points pace: 115

Next game: vs. TB (Thursday)

Playoff chances:>99%

Tragic number: N/A

New York Rangers

Points: 86

Regulation wins: 28

Playoff position: M3

Games left: 15

Points pace: 105

Next game: vs. PIT (Thursday)

Playoff chances:>99%

Tragic number: N/A

Pittsburgh Penguins

Points: 78

Regulation wins: 25

Playoff position: WC1

Games left: 15

Points pace: 96

Next game: @ NYR (Thursday)

Playoff chances: 77%

Tragic number: N/A

New York Islanders

Points: 78

Regulation wins: 30

Playoff position: WC2

Games left: 12

Points pace: 91

Next game: @ SJ (Saturday)

Playoff chances: 51%

Tragic number: N/A

Washington Capitals

Points: 73

Regulation wins: 25

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 13

Points pace: 87

Next game: vs. STL (Friday)

Playoff chances: 11%

Tragic number: 21

Philadelphia Flyers

Points: 59

Regulation wins: 22

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 15

Points pace: 72

Next game: vs. BUF (Friday)

Playoff chances:<1%

Tragic number: 11

Columbus Blue Jackets

Points: 49

Regulation wins: 15

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 16

Points pace: 61

Next game: @ LA (Thursday)

Playoff chances:<1%

Tragic number: 3

Central Division

Dallas Stars

Points: 87

Regulation wins: 31

Playoff position: C1

Games left: 14

Points pace: 105

Next game: @ EDM (Thursday)

Playoff chances:>99%

Tragic number: N/A

Minnesota Wild

Points: 86

Regulation wins: 28

Playoff position: C2

Games left: 14

Points pace: 104

Next game: vs. BOS (Saturday)

Playoff chances: 99%

Tragic number: N/A

Colorado Avalanche

Points: 82

Regulation wins: 26

Playoff position: C3

Games left: 16

Points pace: 102

Next game: @ OTT (Thursday)

Playoff chances:>99%

Tragic number: N/A

Winnipeg Jets

Points: 79

Regulation wins: 29

Playoff position: WC2

Games left: 14

Points pace: 95

Next game: vs. BOS (Thursday)

Playoff chances: 66%

Tragic number: N/A

Nashville Predators

Points: 75

Regulation wins: 25

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 17

Points pace: 95

Next game: vs. CHI (Thursday)

Playoff chances: 39%

Tragic number: 30

St. Louis Blues

Points: 63

Regulation wins: 21

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 15

Points pace: 77

Next game: @ WSH (Friday)

Playoff chances:<1%

Tragic number: 14

Arizona Coyotes

Points: 61

Regulation wins: 18

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 14

Points pace: 74

Next game: vs. VAN (Thursday)

Playoff chances:<1%

Tragic number: 10

Chicago Blackhawks

Points: 52

Regulation wins: 15

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 15

Points pace: 64

Next game: @ NSH (Thursday)

Playoff chances:<1%

Tragic number: 3

Pacific Division

Vegas Golden Knights

Points: 90

Regulation wins: 30

Playoff position: P1

Games left: 14

Points pace: 109

Next game: vs. CGY (Thursday)

Playoff chances:>99%

Tragic number: N/A

Los Angeles Kings

Points: 87

Regulation wins: 29

Playoff position: P2

Games left: 14

Points pace: 105

Next game: vs. CBJ (Thursday)

Playoff chances:>99%

Tragic number: N/A

Edmonton Oilers

Points: 82

Regulation wins: 35

Playoff position: P3

Games left: 14

Points pace: 99

Next game: vs. DAL (Thursday)

Playoff chances: 97%

Tragic number: N/A

Seattle Kraken

Points: 81

Regulation wins: 30

Playoff position: WC1

Games left: 15

Points pace: 99

Next game: @ SJ (Thursday)

Playoff chances: 87%

Tragic number: N/A

Calgary Flames

Points: 74

Regulation wins: 24

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 14

Points pace: 89

Next game: @ VGK (Thursday)

Playoff chances: 14%

Tragic number: 23

Vancouver Canucks

Points: 63

Regulation wins: 18

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 16

Points pace: 78

Next game: @ ARI (Thursday)

Playoff chances:<1%

Tragic number: 16

Anaheim Ducks

Points: 54

Regulation wins: 12

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 14

Points pace: 65

Next game: vs. CBJ (Friday)

Playoff chances:<1%

Tragic number: 3

e - San Jose Sharks

Points: 51

Regulation wins: 14

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 14

Points pace: 62

Next game: vs. SEA (Thursday)

Playoff chances: 0%

Tragic number: E

Race for the No. 1 pick

The NHL uses a draft lottery to determine the order of the first round, so the team that finishes in last place is not guaranteed the No. 1 selection. As of 2021, a team might move up a maximum of 10 spots if it wins the lottery, so only 11 teams are eligible for the draw for the No. 1 pick. Full details on the process can be found here. Sitting No. 1 on the draft board for this summer is Connor Bedard, who has been lauded as a generational talent.