Rain Returns Monday and Tuesday

RALEIGH, N.C. (WTVD) -- Overall, it turned out to be a warm and humid afternoon across the Triangle with temperatures in the mid to upper 80s and dew points in the lower 70s. There is even a bit of haze in the sky from distant wildfires in the West.

This is all thanks to surface high pressure in place over the Southeast.

While we will stay generally dry through tonight, a more active day will be on tap for tomorrow with a shortwave trough ejecting across the Mid-Atlantic. Additionally, an associated cold front will dip down into the area, causing showers and some heavier thunderstorms to fire up. There will be a lot of moisture in the atmosphere, so thunderstorms may lead to localized flooding. There will also be the risk for water-loaded downbursts which can produce damaging wind gusts.

The weather will remain active on Tuesday with the cold front stalling out over the Carolinas. Atmospheric available moisture will still be high, so there will still be the risk for flooding, especially in the southern half of the viewing area.

While Wednesday starts to dry up for our northern and western areas, there will still be the chance for an afternoon thunderstorm in a few spots, mainly east, with a shortwave feature passing through the state.

After a dry day on Thursday, a cold front dropping southward will bring showers and thunderstorms to the Triangle on Friday. We will have to keep an eye on this as some of those storms may be strong to locally severe with plenty of energy aloft.

Tropics: An area of disturbed weather off the Southeast coast has a 50/50 chance of developing into a tropical system over the next 48 hours. Wind shear and dry air to the north has limited development so far. Regardless, tropical downpours are expected to impact parts of the Southeast through Monday.

Have a great week ahead!

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