RALEIGH, N.C. (WTVD) -- This morning we are seeing an area of rain over the Tennessee Valley and there will be mainly snow and ice over the Appalachians as it moves through.
However, this is a weak feature, and down sloping winds will eliminate most of the precipitation as it heads eastward across North Carolina. While there are likely to be some radar returns over the Triangle this morning, very little will reach the ground. We may see a spotty sprinkle/shower, or even a snowflake in the air, but it won't amount to much. Clouds give way to some sunshine for this afternoon, though some high clouds still linger. Temperatures will head back to the mid-50s.
Our wind direction at the surface will shift from southwest today to westerly tonight and end up west-northwest tomorrow. This, along with west to northwest flow aloft, will keep moisture to our south tonight into tomorrow as a strung-out area of rain develops over the Deep South. This stream of moisture will be along a front over the region, and develop as the closed low that is moving onto the Pacific coast of Mexico early today weakens crossing the southern tier of the country.
The American model had been the only model suggesting this could get even close to us, and it is now showing the moisture suppressed well to our south along with the other models. Because of this, we're expecting just occasional clouds for tonight into tomorrow. As we also don't see any cold air moving into the region, we will stay mild and temperatures could even make a run toward 60 tomorrow afternoon in the Sandhills.
However, high pressure building in from the north will kick in the cold air tomorrow night, and with clear skies overhead, temperatures will drop down into the 20s. This high brings dry weather and mostly sunny skies over the weekend with readings remaining at or below normal. The next storm coming to the area will bring rain on Monday in advance of the low itself.
The models have flipped on us this morning, with the American carrying a pretty flat wave through the region Monday night into Tuesday, while the European takes a better-developed storm up through the Ohio Valley Monday night before handing the energy off to a coastal feature on Tuesday. Clearly, the models are having difficulty resolving the numerous pieces of energy coming into the West, and we'll likely see more changes in the path of this storm in the coming days. Still, the main message for us here is wet weather for Monday into Tuesday morning before drying begins Tuesday afternoon.
Have a great Thursday!