Warm & Humid, Rain Returns Tuesday

RALEIGH, N.C. (WTVD) -- Mainly Dry Start to the Week: High pressure will hold over central NC through Monday, allowing for warm, humid, and mainly dry conditions to continue. Stray late-day showers will be possible, mainly south and west of the Triangle. Expect partly cloudy skies in the morning, with increasing clouds in the afternoon. Morning lows will start in the 60s to near 70 with areas of fog. Highs will be in the mid and upper 80s. Lows will be in the upper 60s.

Tuesday: High pressure will slide east of the region Tuesday. Moisture will start to increase ahead of the next front. Expect generally cloudy skies will scattered showers. Highs will be in the upper 70s and low 80s. Scattered showers will continue overnight with lows in the 60s.

Wet Wednesday: A strong cold front will approach from the west, bringing showers and thunderstorms Wednesday through early Thursday. Locally heavy rain may lead to street flooding in spots. A few gusty storms will be possible, but the overall severe threat looks low. Afternoon highs will be in the mid to upper 70s. Lows will be in the upper 50s and low 60s. Most rain totals from Tuesday through early Thursday will be around 1.50" or less.

Fall Arrives: Meteorological fall began September 1 (based on the annual temperature cycle). Astronomical fall arrives at 3:21pm ET Wednesday. This is the time when the geometric center of the sun's disk crosses the equator. The sun angle will continue to get lower in the sky over the Northern Hemisphere until the Winter Solstice in December.

Drying Out Thursday through the Weekend: The cold front will be near I-95 around sunrise Thursday morning, so expect lingering showers and isolated storms in the morning, gradually ending from west to east. A cooler and drier air mass will arrive behind the front. Afternoon highs will be in the low and mid 70s. Overnight lows will be in the upper 40s and low 50s.

Friday through the Weekend: The first weekend of fall will be splendid. Expect sunny days and clear nights. Morning lows will be in the upper 40s and low to mid 50s. Afternoon highs will be in the upper mid 70s to around 80.

The Tropics:
Peter: This system is not a concern for NC. Tropical Storm Peter is expected to pass well north of the Leeward Islands on Monday and Tuesday. Some slight weakening is expected. Locally heavy rain and gusty winds will be possible across portions of the Northern Leeward Islands, including the Virgin Islands, as well as Puerto Rico through Tuesday.

Rose: This system is not a concern for NC. As of Monday morning, it was west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Maximum sustained winds were near 40 mph.

Some strengthening is forecast through Monday. By Tuesday, upper-level winds are expected to become less conducive, and Rose is forecast to begin a slow weakening trend.

A tropical wave located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic several hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands may gradually develop
over the next several days, and a tropical depression could form later this week while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

The remnants of Odette were located a couple of hundred miles southeast of

Newfoundland. This low could acquire some subtropical characteristics by the middle of this week as it moves slowly eastward and then southeastward over warmer waters across the north-central Atlantic Ocean
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Have a great day!
Kweilyn Murphy

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