Cold Start Today

RALEIGH, N.C. (WTVD) -- Many will be waking up to frost across much of the Triangle this morning, as overnight lows dipped below freezing for much of the viewing area, bringing an end to the growing season for most. Otherwise, a chillier day is expected despite some frequent sunshine through a few clouds during the day. Highs will dip down into the low 50s as a prominent upper-level low meanders over the Northeast and northwest winds prevail locally after a cold front passed yesterday afternoon. A tightened pressure gradient will also lead to breezy winds throughout the day.

The weekend will begin to trend much more pleasant. Surface high pressure will build over the Southeast, and originally northwesterly winds will begin to back southwesterly by Sunday as the high shifts further east. Combined with sunny skies, high temperatures will return to slightly above historical average in the low 60s this weekend.

Beginning next week, some model discrepancy still remains for Monday night and the later week. A low pressure system looks to develop on Monday somewhere in the Ohio Valley and push east, bringing an attendant cold front with it. After highs reach near 70 on Monday with continued SW flow, this front looks to push through locally sometime Tuesday. The EURO suggests this will bring a shower or two to the Triangle, but other models suggest only areas close to the mountains in the western portions of the viewing area will see anything. The timing of this front will heavily dictate how warm we can get on

Tuesday, as a quicker front will likely lead to a cooler day, but a slower front could see continued warmth into the upper 60s before finally cooling off Wednesday.

For Thanksgiving, models have come into more agreement about rain chances, and we have added an afternoon shower for the holiday. This could continue to trend slower, and a rather wet Thanksgiving may become more plausible as we move closer to Thursday. Otherwise, highs look to remain near historical average at around 60.

Have a nice day!

Steve Stewart