A few evening showers

RALEIGH, N.C. (WTVD) -- There's been a good amount of sunshine across the viewing area, but the satellite imagery depicts clouds spreading across the Ohio Valley and into the lower part of the mid-Atlantic. This is in response to a 500mb vort max rounding the base of an upper-level trough that will linger in the area and be the main factor for our weather forecast over the next few days.

As this vort max sweeps southeastward, showers are expected to break out near or just west of the Triangle right around sunset. The 3km NAM is the most bullish of the hi-res guidance, showing a few showers with local downpours across the viewing area.

The HRRR has generally more sparse shower coverage. Either way, we expect a passing shower or two through the evening hours, with otherwise partly cloudy skies and seasonable low temperatures. A cool northwest breeze will make temperatures feel even lower for people heading out early tomorrow morning.

Troughing will linger overhead tomorrow but we'll get into downsloping northwesterly winds, which will result in drier weather and mostly sunny skies. It will be cooler than today but more seasonable for late March. Remaining dry and comfortable on Thursday as high pressure moves off the coast.

Temperatures will be on the rise heading into the end of the week and this weekend as winds turn southwesterly. Conditions largely remain dry through Saturday, as a warm front lifts north of the area. It's not out of the question for there to be a stray shower or two in far northern parts of the viewing area on Friday, depending on exactly where that warm front sets up. Regardless, it looks like the Triangle will be solidly in the warm sector.

Temperatures climb 10-15 degrees above historical averages by early next week. We will be tracking two pieces of energy that will be the next weather makers for our region. One front-running piece of energy will bring more clouds on Sunday and can spread a few showers across the region, especially later in the day.

A stronger shortwave trough will follow, which can result in localized severe thunderstorms on Monday, depending on the exact timing of the associated front and potential for destabilization.

Have a great evening!

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