RALEIGH, N.C. (WTVD) -- A rather mild day today gives way to the risk for severe thunderstorms followed by cooler then downright cold conditions for the
upcoming week. For today, showers have been most numerous near and to the southeast of I-95 in recent hours, but more radar blips are sneaking into the Triangle of late, and today still looks rather active in the rather moist warm sector. Highs still seem poised to reach the mid -60s with dew points likely also over 60 providing climatologically impressive amounts of fuel for some robust thunderstorm development.
As such, the risk for severe weather does remain thru midday, although the current rather widespread precipitation could be a limiting
factor with most hi-res guidance breaking up the frontal line of storms as it approaches the coast early in the afternoon. Regardless,
there's a good deal of shear to be had with this very windy disturbance, and even non-thunderstorm wind gusts should rather easily
exceed 40-45 mph into the afternoon just about everywhere.
Cooler tomorrow with but rather nice under lots of sun as the advancing high allows the wind to drop off, with highs closer to or just below 50. Tuesday
brings more of the same as the core of high pressure shifts toward the Outer Banks, but slightly higher heights aloft help to take highs
into the lower 50s late in the day before yet another new storm arrives and temperatures crash toward freezing at night.
- This sets up for a rather interesting Wednesday just on the cold side of the precipitation shield from that storm, and the 00z suite
provided little in the way of change in the pattern as a developing surface low leads to a situation in which heavy precip of all types is
growing increasingly likely in our area. Freezing rain is a real concern for the Triangle itself, with a high near freezing and every chance
for some significant snowfall over at least our northern zones into the evening hours. Highs then stay in the mid-30s through the rest
of the workweek before some moderation into the weekend.
Have a great day!
Steve Stewart