Hotter days this week, chance of rain increases but no widespread washouts anticipated

RALEIGH, N.C. (WTVD) -- It is another hot day across the region, with temperatures already climbing into the low to mid-90s under abundant sunshine. Fortunately, dew points are generally holding in the upper 50s to lower 60s, keeping conditions somewhat manageable.

As a result, AccuWeather RealFeel temperatures remain below 100F, preventing more extreme heat stress.

Current 500 mb analysis indicates a well-defined shortwave moving through the Northeast, while a ridge axis extends from the Southeast into the western Great Lakes. At the surface, a cold front is pushing southward out of Pennsylvania into Maryland and Virginia on Sunday afternoon. This boundary will serve as the focus for scattered showers and thunderstorms developing along and just to its south this evening. Some of this activity may reach northern portions of the viewing area overnight.

Heading into Monday, both surface and upper-level high pressure will build overhead, supporting a predominantly dry and hot day. However, the aforementioned front is expected to stall and weaken, becoming a stationary boundary draped across southern and western North Carolina.

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms may develop along this boundary, though activity is expected to remain primarily south and west of the Triangle.

High pressure will remain firmly in place through Tuesday, continuing to suppress widespread precipitation and keeping most shower activity west of Raleigh. Notably, Tuesday is expected to bring a brief but welcome break from the heat.

Looking ahead through the remainder of the week and into next weekend, increasing heat and humidity will be the primary concern as broad ridging expands eastward across the East Coast. Dew points are forecast to rise through the 60s and into the 70s, contributing to a more humid and uncomfortable airmass.

While daily chances for isolated showers and thunderstorms will persist, coverage should remain limited and no widespread washouts are anticipated.

Have a great evening!

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