Light Showers Today

RALEIGH, N.C. (WTVD) -- Showers are just beginning to make their way into the state early this morning, and should arrive across the Triangle by the midday. With just a bit of instability in place there can be a rumble of thunder with any heavier shower, before the line moves offshore by the late afternoon followed by the front this evening. Clouds will begin to pick up ahead of the front and lessen a bit after the showers, allowing for a mix of sun throughout the day. Otherwise highs in the mid 60s look likely by the afternoon.
Into tomorrow post front temperatures will quickly recover back into the low 70s by the afternoon under a good deal of sun. The next feature to watch will be a weaker impulse late Tuesday into Tuesday night. Models still are not in great agreement about how far south this feature comes, but current guidance indicates the potential for a few showers overnight Tuesday. The most likely areas will be north of the Triangle. This dip in the trough looks to lower temps Wednesday a bit, and along with perhaps a few more clouds than originally thought...highs may struggle to reach out of the upper 60s despite with a more northerly wind involved. Dry weather looks likely for Wednesday, and high pressure looks to move in and setup locally Thursday and into the weekend.
Highs will be on the rise by the midweek on, with a quick climb into the 70s by Friday and pushing near 80 by Saturday. A more significant storm looks to begin developing by the weekend across the central US as a shortwave ejects across the Plains. Any precipitation looks to stay to the north through at least Saturday, keeping us dry overall. Models show notable discrepancy with the surface low placement beyond Saturday, but both Sunday and Monday appear to have at least marginal chances for some rain as of now as the blocking high offshore stays strong.
Have a great day!
Steve Stewart