RALEIGH, N.C. (WTVD) -- Into the day tomorrow, a weakening area of low pressure currently trekking through the Midwest will slide overhead. As it does so, it will encounter dry air as it approaches the coast. Heights aloft will dip as this feature moves by, and analysis of 12Z convective allowing models, there may be a chance for a few pop up showers from midday into the early afternoon, but the better chances largely residing to the north and to the east of the Triangle. This window should be relatively brief for a passing shower, with the rest of the day ending up pretty pleasant.
Following the passage of the low pressure and associated cold front on Saturday, Sunday is shaping up to be the coolest day of the upcoming stretch, with afternoon highs being knocked back into the middle 50s. High pressure building in behind the front is expected to keep the next system shunted off to our south during the day on Sunday, however we may see clouds filtering the sunshine from time to time.
We're continuing to keep an eye on Monday to see if high pressure can continue to keep the area of low pressure well enough off to our south as it slides off the Atlantic coast, but it could end up being pretty close. At this time, the southern reaches of the viewing area may end up having a higher chance for some rain versus the northern reaches of the viewing area.
Once that area of low pressure fully slides off the Atlantic coast into the day on Tuesday, heights aloft rise significantly, resulting in surface temperatures climbing in a similar fashion. High pressure at the surface should yield a good deal of sunshine and we expect highs to climb into the middle and upper 70s. A similar regime will likely remain in place during the day on Wednesday as well.
Our next chance for rain is expected to occur on Thursday, as a shortwave trough traverses across the southern United States and into the Southeast. General model guidance weakens this trough as it traverses eastward, but trends will continue to be monitored closely. Following that, the end of the forecast period looks dry and mild for Friday.
Have a great day!
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